Preliminary 2016 NL Predictions

Did a little more work on the NL, more predictions, AL now updated. On to tweaking these and getting final predictions out after the World Series.

MG grade Basic grade
1 to 4 Grade D
5 to 9 Grade C
10 to 14 Grade B
15 to 19 Grade A
20 to 24 Grade A&C
25 to 30 Grade A&B
Chapman* Aroldis CHC 23* X Z H
Reyes Alex STL 19 X W H
Melancon Mark WSN 22* X Z H
Kershaw* Clayton LAD 18 XY ZZ G
Morrow Brandon SDP 16* R Z
Belisle Matt WSN 17* ZZ H
Jansen Kenley LAD 20* KY Z G
Oh Seung-hwan STL 18* XY Z G
Reed Addison NYM 18* XY Z G
Koch Matt ARI 10 14* Z G
Socolovich Miguel STL 15* X
Dayton* Grant LAD 16* K Z L
Hill* Rich LAD 17 XY H
Hendricks Kyle CHC 17 Y Z
Law Derek SFG 17* Y Z G
Thornburg Tyler MIL 18* XY
Phelps David MIA 14 17* XY G
Treinen Blake WSN 17* X G
Asher Alec PHI 11 R Z H
Ogando Nefi MIA 16* R W H
Duke* Zach STL 18* X W H
Solis* Sammy WSN 17* X W H
Gsellman Robert NYM 14 Y H
Lester* Jon CHC 18 X
Ellington Brian MIA 17* Y W G
Blanton Joe LAD 16* X
Montgomery* Mike CHC 11 18* Y
Iglesias Raisel CIN 14 16* X
Kontos George SFG 16* G
Familia Jeurys NYM 18* X H
Neris Hector PHI 16* XY
Syndergaard Noah NYM 15 XY Z G
Kelley Shawn WSN 15* K Z L
Romo Sergio SFG 14* X Z L
Rzepczynski* Marc WSN 16* Y W H
Lugo Seth NYM 13 15*
Ottavino Adam COL 14* XY
Barnes Jacob MIL 13* X Z H
Torres Carlos MIL 15* Y
Bumgarner* Madison SFG 15 X Z
Cahill Trevor CHC 9 16* Y W
Siegrist* Kevin STL 15* X L
Cueto Johnny SFG 15 Y Z G
Blevins* Jerry NYM 15* XY
Guerra Junior MIL 12 Y
Ramos A.J. MIA 17* X W H
McGowan Dustin MIA 15* Y
Cabrera Mauricio ATL 16* Y W H
Roark Tanner WSN 15 Y
Barraclough Kyle MIA 16* K W H
Strop Pedro CHC 15* XY
Fernandez Jose MIA 14 XY G
Buchter* Ryan SDP 16* XY W G
Cravy Tyler MIL 9 14* Y
Lorenzen Michael CIN 12* X Z
Hand* Brad SDP 14* XY
Wood* Travis CHC 14* Y
Scherzer Max WSN 14 XY Z
Hughes Jared PIT 14*
Martinez Carlos STL 14 Y
deGrom Jacob NYM 12 Y Z
Baez Pedro LAD 13* X
Watson* Tony PIT 13* Y
Johnson Jim ATL 13* X H
Morris Bryan MIA 14* W M
Arrieta Jake CHC 13 X
Strickland Hunter SFG 13* Y Z G
Wittgren Nick MIA 12* Y Z
Diaz Jumbo CIN 14* Y W L
Marinez Jhan MIL 13* G
Krol* Ian ATL 12* X Z
Avilan* Luis LAD 10* XY H
Teheran Julio ATL 12 Y Z
Okert* Steven SFG 9* X Z
Garcia Yimi LAD 9* R Z H
Hinojosa Dalier PHI 10*
DeSclafani Anthony CIN 11 Y Z
Suter* Brent MIL 9 10* Z
Richard* Clayton SDP 10 12* G
Lackey John CHC 13 X
Smith* Will SFG 13* X W G
Taillon Jameson PIT 10 Y Z
Lyons* Tyler STL 12* X L
Liberatore* Adam LAD 12* X H
Scahill Rob MIL 10* Z G
Urias* Julio LAD 10 X G
Matz* Steven NYM 10 Y Z
Dunn* Mike MIA 11* Y Z
Maness Seth STL 10* R Z G
Colon Bartolo NYM 12 Z
Ross Joe WSN 10 Y Z
Rodney Fernando MIA 13* X W
Bowman Matthew STL 11* Z G
Smith Joe CHC 12* L
Maeda Kenta LAD 12 X Z
Robles Hansel NYM 12* X
Barrett Jake ARI 12* Y
Feliz Neftali PIT 12* X L
Rondon Hector CHC 11* XY Z L
Cervenka* Hunter MIA 13* Y W G
Anderson* Tyler COL 10 Y Z
Casilla Santiago SFG 12* X
Withrow Chris ATL 13* W
Ramirez Jose ATL 13* Y W G
Strasburg Stephen WSN 11 XY
Stratton Chris SFG 10* W
Coke* Phil PIT 10* X W
Schugel A.J. PIT 10* Y Z
Roe Chaz ATL 12* XY W G
Eickhoff Jerad PHI 11 Y Z L
Logan* Boone COL 11* XY
Collmenter Josh ATL 9 10* Y L
Hellickson Jeremy PHI 10 Y Z
Wood* Alex LAD 10 X
Rusin* Chris COL 7 10* Y Z G
Edwards Carl CHC 10* K
Straily Dan CIN 11 Y L
LeBlanc* Wade PIT 7 9* Y Z M
Samardzija Jeff SFG 10 Y Z
Hammel Jason CHC 11 Y
Ramos Edubray PHI 9* X Z
Hernandez David PHI 10* X L
Conley* Adam MIA 9 Y
Chatwood Tyler COL 11 W
Cole Gerrit PIT 9 Y G
Salas Fernando NYM 9* Y Z L
Quackenbush Kevin SDP 10*
Ogando Alexi ATL 11* Y W G
Boyer Blaine MIL 9* R Z G
Stripling Ross LAD 8 Z
Davies Zach MIL 8 Y Z
Finnegan* Brandon CIN 10 Y W L
Wood Blake CIN 10* X W
Adleman Tim CIN 7 L
Clemens Paul SDP 8 W L
Lopez* Javier SFG 9* R W
Moore* Matt SFG 8 Y
Rivero* Felipe PIT 8* X
Howell* J.P. LAD 7* Y Z
Grimm Justin CHC 8* XY
Velasquez Vince PHI 6 X L
Capuano* Chris MIL 7* X W M
Cingrani* Tony CIN 9* W
Hessler* Keith SDP 7* R W
Nova Ivan PIT 6 Z
Kuhl Chad PIT 6
Glasnow Tyler PIT 5 Y W
Cunniff Brandon ATL 6* Y W
De La Rosa Rubby ARI 6 X L
Gearrin Cory SFG 5* Y Z
Suarez Albert SFG 5 Z
Broxton Jonathan STL 6* Y
Foltynewicz Mike ATL 5 Y Z
Koehler Tom MIA 8 Y W
Sampson Keyvius CIN 4 6* Y W M
Greinke Zack ARI 6 Y Z
Henderson Jim NYM 6* X L
Papelbon Jonathan WSN 7* Y
Anderson Chase MIL 6 L
Vizcaino Arodys ATL 7* X W
Chavez Jesse LAD 5* Y Z L
Delgado Randall ARI 7* Y W
Rosenthal Trevor STL 7* X W G
Nicasio Juan PIT 4 6* X
Petit Yusmeiro WSN 3 5* Z L
Breslow* Craig MIA 5* R G
Garza Matt MIL 4
Maurer Brandon SDP 6* X Z
Bastardo* Antonio TOT 8* X W L
Goeddel Erik NYM 6* Y
Kazmir* Scott LAD 5 Y L
Gonzalez* Gio WSN 6 Y
Gray Jon COL 6 X
Wainwright Adam STL 7 Y
Nelson Jimmy MIL 7 W
Fields Josh LAD 4* X Z
Ohlendorf Ross CIN 7* Y W M
Garcia* Jaime STL 5 Y L
Smith Josh CIN 3 5* L
Knebel Corey MIL 4* X
Leake Mike STL 5 Z
Coleman Louis LAD 7* Y W
Osich* Josh SFG 7* W L
McGee* Jake COL 5* L
Nola Aaron PHI 4 X Z
Bettis Chad COL 7
Friedrich* Christian SDP 5
Vogelsong Ryan PIT 6* W
Rea Colin MIA 5
Gomez Jeanmar PHI 7*
Peralta Wily MIL 5
Harvey Matt NYM 4 Y Z
Gant John ATL 3 5* Y
Brault* Steven PIT 3 L
De La Cruz Joel ATL 3 5* L
Hoffman Jeff COL 4 W M
Latos Mat WSN 5 L
Ray* Robbie ARI 5 X
Lopez Reynaldo WSN 4 Y W
Motte Jason COL 4* Y M
Perez* Oliver WSN 4* X
McCarthy Brandon LAD 4 X W G
Chen* Wei-Yin MIA 4 Y Z L
Nicolino* Justin MIA 3 R Z
Wisler Matt ATL 4 L
Bradley Archie ARI 4 Y
Vargas Cesar SDP 3
Dominguez Jose SDP 5* R W
Wacha Michael STL 4 Y Z
Norris Bud LAD 3 Y
Corbin* Patrick ARI 3 Y L
Cole A.J. WSN 3 Y L
Oberg Scott COL 3*
Verrett Logan NYM 3 5* W L
Hudson Daniel ARI 4* Y
Qualls Chad COL 3* Z L
Estevez Carlos COL 5* X W
Cashner Andrew MIA 4 Y
Hutchison Drew PIT 2 3* Y M
Shipley Braden ARI 3 L
Germen Gonzalez COL 5* W
Kiekhefer* Dean STL 3* Z
Niese* Jon TOT 3 M
De La Rosa* Jorge COL 4 W L
Peavy Jake SFG 3 Y L
Cain Matt SFG 3 L
Perdomo Luis SDP 3 Z L
Morgan* Adam PHI 2 Y Z M
Miller Shelby ARI 3
Blair Aaron ATL 2 L
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9 thoughts on “Preliminary 2016 NL Predictions

  1. Hey Bruce – you might want to check the grade for Joe Smith. You gave him a 16 which looks like you based it only on his stats with the Cubs. He also pitched for the Angels and his combined ERA is 3.46.

    Great job as always and much appreciated.

  2. Was curious why you think Belisle gets a zz while Andrew Miller with a lower walk rate would not?

    I mainly ask because my team has Belisle and would LOVE that zz.

    • Walk rating in APBA are based on walks/per total batters faced and Belisle gave up 3 IBBs lower his rate. APBA eliminates IBB from the equation.

      Also, the difference between the NL and AL walk rate. The NL had a higher walk rate than the AL so Belisle’s walk rate was lower against the league average than Millers.

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