This is very preliminary, first go round. Still need to see who advances in the playoffs and World Series teams among other things:

Britton* | Zach | BAL | 29* | XY | Z | H | |

Bedrosian | Cam | LAA | 26* | XY | – | H | |

Miller* | Andrew | CLE | 22* | KX | Z | – | |

Otero | Dan | CLE | 21* | Y | Z | H | |

Davis | Wade | KCR | 19* | X | – | H | |

Colome | Alex | TBR | 18* | XY | Z | – | |

Brach | Brad | BAL | 18* | XY | – | – | |

Jennings* | Dan | CHW | 20* | – | W | H | |

Barnette | Tony | TEX | 17* | Y | Z | G | |

Devenski | Chris | HOU | 14 | 17* | X | Z | H |

Ziegler | Brad | BOS | 17* | Y | – | H | |

Harris | Will | HOU | 16* | X | Z | H | |

Jones | Nate | CHW | 16* | XY | Z | – | |

Jeffress | Jeremy | TEX | 16* | – | Z | H | |

Dull | Ryan | OAK | 16* | X | Z | – | |

Dyson | Sam | TEX | 17* | Y | – | G | |

Bush | Matt | TEX | 15* | X | Z | G | |

Allen | Cody | CLE | 18* | XY | W | – | |

Flynn* | Brian | KCR | 16* | Y | W | – | |

Kahnle | Tommy | CHW | 16* | Y | W | – | |

Hembree | Heath | BOS | 15* | Y | – | – | |

Osuna | Roberto | TOR | 15* | XY | Z | – | |

Herrera | Kelvin | KCR | 14* | XY | Z | – | |

Claudio* | Alex | TEX | 14* | – | Z | H | |

Diaz | Edwin | SEA | 14* | KY | Z | – | |

Cishek | Steve | SEA | 14* | XY | – | – | |

Benoit | Joaquin | TOT | 15* | X | W | – | |

Smith | Chris | OAK | 13* | XY | W | – | |

Tepera | Ryan | TOR | 12* | Y | – | G | |

Wilson | Alex | DET | 12* | – | Z | G | |

Rondon | Bruce | DET | 12* | XY | – | – | |

Sanchez | Aaron | TOR | 14 | Y | – | – | |

Ynoa | Michael | CHW | 13* | Y | W | H | |

Verlander | Justin | DET | 13 | X | Z | – | |

Fulmer | Michael | DET | 12 | Y | – | – | |

Biagini | Joe | TOR | 12* | Y | Z | H | |

Neshek | Pat | HOU | 9* | Y | ZZ | – | |

Farquhar | Danny | TBR | 10* | XY | – | M | |

Tanaka | Masahiro | NYY | 13 | Y | Z | – | |

Ryan* | Kyle | DET | 12* | – | Z | H | |

Betances | Dellin | NYY | 13* | KX | – | G | |

Achter | A.J. | LAA | 11* | R | – | L | |

Manship | Jeff | CLE | 13* | Y | W | L | |

Givens | Mychal | BAL | 14* | XY | W | – | |

Kluber | Corey | CLE | 13 | X | – | – | |

Porcello | Rick | BOS | 14 | Y | Z | – | |

Kintzler | Brandon | MIN | 12* | – | Z | – | |

Happ* | J.A. | TOR | 14 | Y | – | – | |

Hunter | Tommy | BAL | 11* | – | Z | H | |

Quintana* | Jose | CHW | 12 | Y | Z | – | |

Guerra | Deolis | LAA | 12* | – | Z | – | |

McCullers | Lance | HOU | 11 | XY | W | G | |

Doolittle* | Sean | OAK | 11* | XY | Z | L | |

Shaw | Bryan | CLE | 13* | X | – | – | |

Rodriguez | Francisco | DET | 13* | Y | – | – | |

Ross* | Robbie | BOS | 13* | X | W | H | |

Gregerson | Luke | HOU | 12* | XY | – | – | |

Hamels* | Cole | TEX | 12 | X | – | – | |

Pomeranz* | Drew | BOS | 11 | X | – | – | |

Carrasco | Carlos | CLE | 10 | X | Z | – | |

Alexander* | Scott | KCR | 10* | Y | – | G | |

Wright | Steven | BOS | 11 | Y | – | – | |

Sale* | Chris | CHW | 12 | X | Z | – | |

Santana | Ervin | MIN | 12 | Y | – | – | |

Norris* | Daniel | DET | 10 | X | – | – | |

Kimbrel | Craig | BOS | 13* | K | W | – | |

Diekman* | Jake | TEX | 13* | X | W | – | |

Darvish | Yu | TEX | 10 | XY | – | – | |

Moylan | Peter | KCR | 12* | – | – | – | |

McAllister | Zach | CLE | 12* | Y | – | – | |

Alvarez* | Jose | LAA | 11* | Y | Z | G | |

Uehara | Koji | BOS | 11* | XY | Z | L | |

Robertson | David | CHW | 13* | X | W | – | |

Estrada | Marco | TOR | 11 | Y | – | – | |

Duffy* | Danny | KCR | 11 | X | Z | L | |

Hardy* | Blaine | DET | 12* | – | W | – | |

Gustave | Jandel | HOU | 9* | X | – | – | |

Worley | Vance | BAL | 7 | 14* | – | W | – |

Nuno* | Vidal | SEA | 5 | 10* | Y | Z | L |

Snell* | Blake | TBR | 11 | X | W | G | |

Tropeano | Nick | LAA | 11 | Y | W | M | |

Caminero | Arquimedes | SEA | 12* | – | W | – | |

Clippard | Tyler | NYY | 11* | X | – | L | |

Gausman | Kevin | BAL | 10 | Y | Z | L | |

Madson | Ryan | OAK | 10* | – | – | – | |

Layne* | Tommy | NYY | 11* | Y | W | G | |

Abad* | Fernando | BOS | 12* | Y | W | – | |

Kennedy | Ian | KCR | 10 | Y | – | L | |

Odorizzi | Jake | TBR | 10 | Y | – | L | |

Peacock | Brad | HOU | 9 | Y | W | L | |

Pressly | Ryan | MIN | 10* | Y | – | – | |

Cedeno* | Xavier | TBR | 10* | X | – | H | |

Lewis | Colby | TEX | 8 | – | Z | L | |

Gonzalez | Miguel | CHW | 8 | – | Z | – | |

Vincent | Nick | SEA | 9* | X | Z | L | |

Hendriks | Liam | OAK | 9* | X | Z | – | |

Tillman | Chris | BAL | 9 | Y | – | – | |

Ramirez | Erasmo | TBR | 4 | 9* | – | Z | L |

O’Day | Darren | BAL | 9* | XY | – | L | |

Paxton* | James | SEA | 7 | Y | Z | – | |

Hernandez | Felix | SEA | 9 | Y | W | – | |

Manaea* | Sean | OAK | 7 | Y | Z | – | |

Hochevar | Luke | KCR | 6* | X | Z | L | |

Martin | Cody | SEA | 4 | 7* | – | – | L |

Salazar | Danny | CLE | 9 | X | W | – | |

Shoemaker | Matt | LAA | 7 | Y | Z | – | |

Miranda* | Ariel | SEA | 7 | Y | – | M | |

Sabathia* | CC | NYY | 8 | Y | – | – | |

Cecil* | Brett | TOR | 7* | XY | Z | L | |

Sturdevant | Tyler | TBR | 6* | Y | – | G | |

Barnes | Danny | TOR | 6* | X | – | H | |

Rogers* | Taylor | MIN | 7* | X | Z | – | |

O’Rourke* | Ryan | MIN | 9* | X | W | – | |

Feldman | Scott | TOR | 4 | 7* | – | Z | – |

Axford | John | OAK | 10* | Y | W | – | |

Price* | David | BOS | 8 | X | Z | – | |

Drake | Oliver | BAL | 6* | XY | – | – | |

Archer | Chris | TBR | 7 | X | – | – | |

Bundy | Dylan | BAL | 5 | 7* | Y | – | L |

Rodon* | Carlos | CHW | 6 | X | – | – | |

Soria | Joakim | KCR | 7* | Y | – | – | |

Barnes | Matt | BOS | 9* | X | W | – | |

Musgrove | Joseph | HOU | 4 | Y | Z | – | |

Floyd | Gavin | TOR | 5* | X | Z | – | |

Graveman | Kendall | OAK | 6 | – | Z | – | |

Giles | Ken | HOU | 7* | K | – | – | |

Iwakuma | Hisashi | SEA | 7 | – | Z | – | |

Grilli | Jason | TOR | 8* | XY | W | L | |

Wilson* | Justin | DET | 6* | X | Z | – | |

Wimmers | Alex | MIN | 6* | Y | W | – | |

Skaggs* | Tyler | LAA | 5 | Y | W | – | |

Tazawa | Junichi | BOS | 6* | X | Z | L | |

Rodriguez | Fernando | OAK | 7* | Y | W | – | |

Floro | Dylan | TBR | 5* | Y | Z | H | |

Harrell | Lucas | TEX | 5 | – | W | – | |

Walker | Taijuan | SEA | 5 | Y | Z | M | |

Wang | Chien-Ming | KCR | 6* | – | – | – | |

Neal | Zach | OAK | 3 | 4* | R | ZZ | – |

Valdez | Jose | LAA | 5* | Y | W | L | |

Boshers* | Buddy | MIN | 5* | X | Z | – | |

Bauer | Trevor | CLE | 7 | Y | – | – | |

Triggs | Andrew | OAK | 3 | 5* | Y | Z | – |

Johnson | Steve | SEA | 5* | Y | W | L | |

McHugh | Collin | HOU | 7 | Y | – | – | |

Ramirez | J.C. | LAA | 6* | – | – | L | |

Cessa | Luis | NYY | 4 | – | Z | M | |

Garton | Ryan | TBR | 5* | Y | Z | – | |

Stroman | Marcus | TOR | 6 | Y | Z | – | |

Andriese | Matt | TBR | 5 | Y | Z | – | |

Morin | Mike | LAA | 5* | Y | Z | – | |

Perez* | Martin | TEX | 6 | – | – | – | |

Tomlin | Josh | CLE | 6 | – | Z | M | |

Nolasco | Ricky | LAA | 5 | – | Z | – | |

Feliz | Michael | HOU | 6* | K | – | L | |

Ventura | Yordano | KCR | 7 | – | W | – | |

Dickey | R.A. | TOR | 6 | – | – | L | |

Fiers | Mike | HOU | 5 | Y | Z | L | |

Hoyt | James | HOU | 4* | XY | – | M | |

Boyd* | Matt | DET | 5 | Y | – | L | |

Coulombe* | Daniel | OAK | 5* | X | – | – | |

Keuchel* | Dallas | HOU | 6 | Y | – | – | |

Farmer | Buck | DET | 4 | 6* | Y | W | – |

Fister | Doug | HOU | 6 | – | – | – | |

Goody | Nick | NYY | 5* | X | – | M | |

Parker | Blake | TOT | 6* | Y | W | G | |

Gee | Dillon | KCR | 3 | 5* | – | Z | L |

Warren | Adam | NYY | 3 | 6* | Y | – | L |

Liriano* | Francisco | TOR | 6 | Y | W | L | |

Santiago* | Hector | MIN | 7 | Y | W | L | |

Chargois | J.T. | MIN | 6* | – | W | H | |

Rodriguez* | Eduardo | BOS | 5 | Y | – | – | |

Green | Chad | NYY | 4 | X | – | M | |

Eovaldi | Nathan | NYY | 5 | Y | – | L | |

Buchholz | Clay | BOS | 5 | – | – | L | |

Chacin | Jhoulys | LAA | 5 | Y | – | – | |

Boxberger | Brad | TBR | 6* | Y | W | – | |

Pineda | Michael | NYY | 5 | X | – | L | |

Zimmermann | Jordan | DET | 4 | – | Z | – | |

Smyly* | Drew | TBR | 5 | Y | – | L | |

Holland* | Derek | TEX | 4 | – | – | – | |

Sipp* | Tony | HOU | 5* | Y | – | M | |

Tonkin | Michael | MIN | 4* | X | – | L | |

Loup* | Aaron | TOR | 3* | X | – | – | |

Weaver | Jered | LAA | 6 | – | – | M | |

Alvarez* | Dario | TEX | 3* | K | Z | M | |

Crockett* | Kyle | CLE | 3* | X | – | H | |

Gibson | Kyle | MIN | 4 | – | – | – | |

Pelfrey | Mike | DET | 3 | R | – | – | |

Griffin | A.J. | TEX | 4 | Y | – | M | |

Karns | Nate | SEA | 6 | X | W | – | |

Kelly | Joe | BOS | 3 | 5* | X | W | – |

Shreve* | Chasen | NYY | 4* | Y | – | M | |

Webb | Ryan | TBR | 3* | – | Z | – | |

Storen | Drew | SEA | 3* | Y | Z | – | |

Yates | Kirby | NYY | 5* | X | W | – | |

Clevinger | Mike | CLE | 5 | Y | W | L | |

Wilson | Tyler | BAL | 3 | – | Z | L | |

May | Trevor | MIN | 4* | XY | – | L | |

Bailey | Andrew | LAA | 4* | Y | – | L | |

Volquez | Edinson | KCR | 4 | – | – | – | |

Miley* | Wade | BAL | 4 | Y | – | L | |

Mahle* | Greg | LAA | 4* | – | W | M | |

Gallardo | Yovani | BAL | 5 | – | W | – | |

Jimenez | Ubaldo | BAL | 5 | Y | W | – | |

Purke* | Matt | CHW | 4* | – | W | H | |

Schultz | Bo | TOR | 3* | – | Z | L | |

Swarzak | Anthony | NYY | 3* | X | Z | M | |

Martinez | Nick | TEX | 4 | R | W | M | |

Meyer | Alex | LAA | 3 | X | W | – | |

Gray | Sonny | OAK | 3 | – | – | L | |

Milone* | Tommy | MIN | 2 | – | Z | M | |

Venditte# | Pat | SEA | 4* | Y | W | M | |

Geltz | Steve | TBR | 3* | Y | – | M | |

Wright | Mike | BAL | 3 | – | – | L | |

Greene | Shane | DET | 2 | 3* | Y | – | H |

Albers* | Andrew | MIN | 2 | Y | – | M | |

Severino | Luis | NYY | 2 | Y | – | L | |

Shields | James | CHW | 4 | – | W | M | |

Rasmus | Cory | LAA | 3 | 4* | – | W | L |

Sanchez | Anibal | DET | 3 | Y | – | L | |

Oberholtzer* | Brett | LAA | 2 | 3* | – | – | M |

Romero* | Enny | TBR | 4* | X | W | L | |

Hughes | Phil | MIN | 2 | – | Z | L | |

Jepsen | Kevin | TOT | 3* | – | – | M | |

Ramirez | Neil | MIN | 4* | Y | W | M | |

Hahn | Jesse | OAK | 2 | R | – | L | |

Ramos* | Cesar | TEX | 2 | R | – | M | |

Kela | Keone | TEX | 3 | XY | W | L | |

Detwiler* | Ross | OAK | 2 | 3* | R | – | – |

Bassitt | Chris | OAK | 3 | – | W | L | |

Wright | Daniel | LAA | 2 | R | Z | L | |

Young | Chris | KCR | 2 | 4* | Y | W | M |

Duffey | Tyler | MIN | 3 | Y | Z | L |

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thank you for your work

thanks for the predictions as I look forward to them each year. One thought….I suspect a couple of Indian starters are right on the border with their control ratings (Kluber missing the Z and Allen getting the W). If the Indians do well in the playoffs, could these pitchers get a bump up? or do you know if APBA will generally make slight improvements/adjustments to hitting cards instead in order to get a better reproduction of the actual season? thanks

That’s possible if the Indians make the World Series. Let me look the numbers over again and in a week or so I’ll have a better idea.

Thanks for the great job.

Have you developed a rating for Zimmermann and Pelfrey on Detroit.

I am just getting into the 4s in the AL but a quick look Zimmerman a 4Z and Pelfrey a 3

need to add matt strahm. rper from kc to list.